Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.035697 0.038869 0.042060 0.045506 0.049114 0.052775 0.056766
2025-11-30 0.031263 0.036022 0.040963 0.046454 0.052362 0.058506 0.065358
2025-12-07 0.027607 0.033519 0.039836 0.047034 0.054956 0.063361 0.072906
2025-12-14 0.024378 0.031120 0.038520 0.047146 0.056831 0.067284 0.079337
2025-12-21 0.022353 0.029840 0.038254 0.048254 0.059669 0.072161 0.086739
2025-12-28 0.019551 0.027412 0.036473 0.047461 0.060217 0.074371 0.091084
2026-01-04 0.017698 0.025944 0.035667 0.047666 0.061796 0.077656 0.096565
2026-01-11 0.016339 0.024960 0.035335 0.048340 0.063845 0.081420 0.102547
2026-01-18 0.015094 0.024014 0.034966 0.048899 0.065702 0.084922 0.108196
2026-01-25 0.012966 0.021774 0.032873 0.047260 0.064861 0.085218 0.110092
2026-02-01 0.011566 0.020389 0.031766 0.046751 0.065307 0.086965 0.113623
2026-02-08 0.010417 0.019258 0.030914 0.046500 0.066015 0.088983 0.117440
2026-02-15 0.009939 0.019062 0.031291 0.047828 0.068702 0.093418 0.124184
2026-02-22 0.009399 0.018737 0.031475 0.048896 0.071068 0.097478 0.130507
2026-03-01 0.008751 0.018204 0.031346 0.049540 0.072893 0.100884 0.136060
2026-03-08 0.007987 0.017437 0.030855 0.049678 0.074064 0.103485 0.140647
2026-03-15 0.007614 0.017249 0.031147 0.050833 0.076509 0.107636 0.147095
2026-03-22 0.006671 0.016073 0.029993 0.050021 0.076420 0.108664 0.149771
2026-03-29 0.006108 0.015472 0.029624 0.050236 0.077625 0.111267 0.154339
2026-04-05 0.005722 0.015138 0.029623 0.050932 0.079439 0.114615 0.159807
2026-04-12 0.005334 0.014768 0.029546 0.051510 0.081088 0.117755 0.165023
2026-04-19 0.004427 0.013374 0.027869 0.049819 0.079733 0.117118 0.165601
2026-04-26 0.003875 0.012573 0.027052 0.049295 0.079884 0.118345 0.168446